Forex VaR (Value At Risk) Calculator

Instrument* Confidence Level
Candle Granularity Trade Duration
Period of Study

*Not all instruments (metals and CFDs in particular) are available in all regions.

Value at Risk (VaR) is a widely used risk management measure in finance. It provides an estimate of the potential loss for a portfolio of assets based on the historical performance. There are 3 elements in definition of VaR:

  1. amount of loss in value
  2. time period over which risk is assessed
  3. level of confidence or probability of estimated risk

The VaR calculation can be applied to any financial market including Forex as shown in the experimental calculator on this page. It is important to note the VaR shown by this calculator does not imply direction of the market movement. This allows for an assessment of risk for both short and long positions (i.e. risk exists in either direction).

There are various methods for calculating VaR and each can generate a different result. The VaR calculator here uses historical distribution of price movements (high-low) for the selected currency pair and time window. The distribution is used to approximate movement level at various probabilities (confidence level)*. While this is a simplified approach it still can be used to get an idea of movement amount for different currency pairs and time windows.

Note: VaR does NOT take all types of risks into account (e.g. liquidity risk, regulatory risk, sovereign risk, etc.) and there is always the possibility of the market moving beyond the estimated amount shown by above calculator. In the Forex market specifically, major economic events can cause a steep rise or fall of prices in a short period of time. Therefore it is highly recommended to take additional measures into account when assessing the risk associated with Forex trading.

*Value At Risk determined by numeric interpolation on the inverse cumulative distribution curve of historical candlestick height (high - low) distribution. Weekend candles with zero height are ignored.

Contracts for Difference (CFDs) or Precious Metals are NOT available to residents of the United States.

This is for general information purposes only - Examples shown are for illustrative purposes and may not reflect current prices from OANDA. It is not investment advice or an inducement to trade. Past history is not an indication of future performance.

© 1996 - 2019 OANDA Corporation. All rights reserved. "OANDA", "fxTrade" and OANDA's "fx" family of trademarks are owned by OANDA Corporation. All other trademarks appearing on this Website are the property of their respective owners.

Leveraged trading in foreign currency contracts or other off-exchange products on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for everyone. We advise you to carefully consider whether trading is appropriate for you in light of your personal circumstances. You may lose more than you invest (except for OANDA Europe Ltd customers who have negative balance protection). Information on this website is general in nature. We recommend that you seek independent financial advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. Trading through an online platform carries additional risks. Refer to our legal section here.

Financial spread betting is only available to OANDA Europe Ltd customers who reside in the UK or Republic of Ireland. CFDs, MT4 hedging capabilities and leverage ratios exceeding 50:1 are not available to US residents. The information on this site is not directed at residents of countries where its distribution, or use by any person, would be contrary to local law or regulation.

OANDA (Canada) Corporation ULC accounts are available to anyone with a Canadian bank account. OANDA (Canada) Corporation ULC is regulated by the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada (IIROC), which includes IIROC's online advisor check database (IIROC AdvisorReport), and customer accounts are protected by the Canadian Investor Protection Fund within specified limits. A brochure describing the nature and limits of coverage is available upon request or at www.cipf.ca.

OANDA Australia Pty Ltd is regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission ASIC (ABN 26 152 088 349, AFSL No. 412981) and is the issuer of the products and/or services on this website. It's important for you to consider the current Financial Service Guide (FSG), Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS'), Account Terms and any other relevant OANDA documents before making any financial investment decisions. These documents can be found here.

OANDA Corporation is a registered Futures Commission Merchant and Retail Foreign Exchange Dealer with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and is a member of the National Futures Association. No: 0325821. Please refer to the NFA's FOREX INVESTOR ALERT where appropriate.

OANDA Europe Limited is a company registered in England number 7110087, and has its registered office at Floor 9a, Tower 42, 25 Old Broad St, London EC2N 1HQ. It is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, No: 542574.

OANDA Japan Co., Ltd. First Type I Financial Instruments Business Director of the Kanto Local Financial Bureau (Kin-sho) No. 2137 Institute Financial Futures Association subscriber number 1571.

OANDA Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (Co. Reg. No 200704926K) holds a Capital Markets Services Licence issued by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

OANDA Markets Europa GmbH is registered in Germany and regulated by Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin). Business address is Wework Building Taunusanlage 8, 60329 Frankfurt/Main

Your capital is at risk. Losses can exceed investment. Leverage trading is high risk and not for everyone.